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Polymarket Punters Pile Bets on Biden’s Dropout

Jul 6, 2024 #仮想通貨
Polymarket Punters Pile Bets on Biden’s Dropoutコインチェーン 仮想通貨ニュース

Following a controversial New York Timesreport,Polymarket odds for President Joe Biden dropping out of the election havesurged,sparking significant bettingactivity.

Points

  • PolymarketoddsforBidendroppingoutexceed70%afteraNewYorkTimesreport.
  • Biden’shealthandrecentdebateperformancecontributetospeculation.
  • Over$10millioninbetsplacedonBiden’sfuture.
  • WhiteHousedeniesthereport,addingtothecontroversy.

BettingSurgeonPolymarket

After a New York Times report suggested President Joe Biden sees beating Donald Trump asunlikely,Polymarket odds for Biden dropping out of the presidential race skyrocketed to over70%.This surge reflects growing speculation aboutBiden’spoliticalfuture,fueled by concerns over his health and a poor debateperformance.

Biden’shealth has been questioned severaltimes,contributing to the momentum ofPolymarket’s“Bidendrops out of presidentialrace?”pool.Sofar,punters have piled over$10million worth of bets onBiden’sfuture.

https://twitter.com/AndrewJBates46/status/1808515890004050293

WhiteHouseResponse

Shortly after thereport,White House spokesperson Andrew Bates claimed the story wasuntrue.Despitethis,betting activityincreased,with many believing thePresident’shealth could impact his ability to continue thecampaign.

MarketReactions

Betting markets reactedstrongly,with over$10million placed onBiden’spotentialdropout.Prior to the CNNdebate,betting activity suggested a20%to35%chance of Biden leaving therace,highlighting how recent events have significantly influenced publicperception.

解説

  • HealthConcerns:PersistentquestionsaboutBiden’shealtharedrivingspeculationinbettingmarkets.
  • DebatePerformance:Biden’srecentdebateperformancehasheightenedconcernsabouthiscampaign’sviability.
  • MarketImpact:Over$10millioninbetsreflectssignificantpublicinterestandbeliefinthepotentialforBiden’swithdrawal.
  • OfficialDenials:TheWhiteHouse’sdenialoftheNewYorkTimesreportaddsanotherlayerofcomplexitytothesituation.
  • PoliticalImplications:Theoutcomeofthesespeculationscouldhavefar-reachingeffectsontheupcomingelectionandpoliticallandscape.